Research Centre

International Travel Outlook: H1 2026

Research Highlights

  • Analysis of market disruption, including conflict risk, aviation capacity, fuel costs, economic conditions and traveller confidence
  • Three-scenario assessment and forecasts showing how the Iran war could reshape 2026 travel volumes under central, conservative and severe downside recovery paths
  • International inbound and outbound travel growth in 2026
  • Revised outlook for international travel through to 2030
  • Evaluation of leading travel destinations and regional performance in 2026
  • Market data for 222 countries and territories
  • Forecast coverage across 1,000+ key outbound travel corridors

 

£2,500.00

Delivery

PDF & Excel

Market

Global

Pages

31

Published

May, 2026

Kaleido Intelligence’s latest International Travel research provides an updated view of inbound, outbound and corridor-level travel trends, helping roaming vendors, mobile operators, connectivity providers and travel service providers understand how global mobility patterns are changing.

Based on the latest travel data and regional developments, the research assesses expected travel volumes in 2026 and provides revised forecasts through to 2030. It covers specific inbound and outbound markets, key destinations and tourism trends and major outbound corridors, with an Excel update to Kaleido’s H2 2025 outbound travel forecast data at regional, country and corridor levels.

The report also examines the factors now influencing international travel growth, including geopolitical disruption, airspace restrictions, fuel price pressure, economic conditions and shifting traveller behaviour. This allows clients to assess not only the direction of travel demand, but also the risks that could affect travel connectivity, roaming and eSIM demand.

This concise report covers current tourism developments and includes market data to help clients understand historical and future inbound and outbound travel patterns around the world.

Readers will receive the following insights: 

  • Historical and forecast global and country-level data for international outbound and inbound arrivals, from 2016 through to 2030
  • Historical and forecast data for 222 countries and territories
  • Historical and forecast data for 1,000+ key outbound corridors
  • Regional and corridor-level Excel data for global outbound travel and key destination markets
  • Impact analysis of the main factors affecting international travel growth in 2026
  • Scenario-based assessment of central and conservative recovery paths following the Iran war and its impact on aviation capacity, fuel costs and traveller confidence.
  • Evaluation of regional trends, market disruption and travel demand risks through to 2030.

The PDF report provides market data at a global and regional level for the following metrics:

  • International Tourism & Travel Market Growth
  • Outbound Tourism Trips Per Annum
  • Inbound Tourism Arrivals Per Annum
  • Outbound Tourism & Travel Corridors

Clients with access to our Roaming Data Hub will receive full outbound and inbound roaming metrics alongside consumer and IoT connections and revenue forecasts, including data for 120+ global markets, totalling over 750,000 data points.

New customers can purchase the Data Hub as a one-off product or subscribe to 12-month access; the latter includes all-new metrics and updates throughout the year. Please contact us to learn more about pricing options.

Historical, current and forecast roaming projections are provided for the following global markets:

Global

Latin America & Caribbean Europe & Central Asia East Asia & Pacific Middle East & North Africa
Argentina Albania Australia Bahrain
Bolivia Austria Cambodia Egypt
Brazil Belarus China Iran, Islamic Republic Of
Chile Belgium Hong Kong, China Israel
Colombia Bulgaria Indonesia Jordan
Curaçao Croatia Japan Kuwait
Dominican Republic Cyprus Korea, Rep. Lebanon
Ecuador Czech Republic Macao, China Morocco
El Salvador Denmark Malaysia Oman
Guatemala Estonia New Zealand Qatar
Haiti Finland Philippines Saudi Arabia
Honduras France Singapore United Arab Emirates
Mexico Germany Taiwan, China  
Paraguay Greece Thailand Sub-Saharan Africa
Peru Hungary Vietnam Angola
Uruguay Iceland   Cabo Verde
Venezuela, RB Ireland South Asia Cameroon
  Italy Bangladesh Ethiopia
North America Latvia India Ghana
Canada Lithuania Maldives Guinea
United States of America Luxembourg Nepal Kenya
  Moldova, Republic Of Pakistan Mozambique
  Netherlands Sri Lanka Nigeria
  Norway   Senegal
  Poland   South Africa
  Portugal   Uganda
  Romania   Zambia
  Russian Federation   Zimbabwe
  Serbia    
  Slovakia    
  Slovenia    
  Spain    
  Sweden    
  Switzerland    
  Turkey    
  Ukraine    
  United Kingdom    

 

The Data Hub is updated every 6 months, ensuring clients always have up-to-date metrics based on the latest market developments and trends.

Members will be able to access the research directly.

For more information on accessing this research, or having membership access, please contact [email protected]

Report Authors

Nitin Bhas

Nitin Bhas

Chief of Strategy & Insights

Contact Author

Neelashree Mukherjee

Neelashree Mukherjee

Data Analyst, Kaleido Intelligence

Members will be able to access the research directly through the Member Zone.

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